2025 Crop Planning

A Statistically Lousy Year for Cotton Prices

Peanut Stocks Expected to Remain Low in 2025

Sifting through the Rice Market: Rising Supplies and Growing Competition

Can Yield Upside Risk Eclipse Price Downside Risk Protection in ECO Crop Insurance?

Changes to Supply and Demand Estimates in the November WASDE

Corn Market Outlook: Higher Ending Stocks, Steady Demand, and Price Pressure

Global Wheat Shortfalls Could Signal Bullish Potential for U.S. Wheat

October WASDE Report Decreases U.S. Cotton Production, Mill Use and Exports

Recap of the October WASDE for Grains and Soybeans

A Soybean Pricing Alternatives at Harvest

Brazil Expected to Continue Dominance of Global Soybean Exports

Low River Levels on the Mississippi River: Not the Three-peat We Want

Minimal Price Gains Amid Record Yields: A Tough Outlook for Grain Producers in 2024

National Corn Yields and Deviation from Trendline Over Time

Are the Pre-Season Polls (Crop Production Reports) Accurate?

To Store or Not to Store?  Old Crop Exit Strategies 

The Week that Followed the August WASDE Report

Storing corn or soybeans: what is the futures market incentivizing?

GDP and the Farm Economy

Review of 2023 STAX Payments and Implications for Price Risk Management in Cotton

Having a Way Out

The Net Short Hedge Fund Position in ICE Cotton Futures

Revenue Protection Weighted Average Coverage Levels by County and Crop

Changes to Planted Acreage for Southern Crops in the June Acreage Report

Current Farm Bill Negotiations for the Marketing Assistance Loan Program

June WASDE Report Projects Increases to Wheat Prices, Decreases to Cotton Prices

Ag Export Percentages: A Focus on Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat

Corn Yields and 2024 Projected Linear Trendline Yields in Southern States

Analyzing World and U.S. Sugar Price Dynamics

May WASDE Projects Higher Supplies and Lower Prices Again in 2024 

Public Information and the Variability of U.S. Cotton Production Forecasts

Cash Grain Contracts and When to Use Them

An Early Look at 2024 Production Expectations for U.S. Wheat and Sorghum

December 2024 Corn Option Premium Movement from October 2023 to April 2024 

Corn and Cotton Prevented Planting Decisions 

The 2024 Sugar Market Domestic Supply and Outlook

Peanut Yield Trends

Prospects for Sorghum Premiums in the Upcoming Season: A Forecast Analysis

A Quick Look at the 2024 Rice Market

U.S. Cotton Export and Global Market Share Declined in 2023

USDA Outlook Forum and Planted Acres

Soybean Option Strategies

The Coordinated Decision of PLC and Federal Crop Insurance in Managing Price Risk in Rice

Cotton Acreage and Relative Prices

A Way-Too-Early Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio Analysis: Price Implications and Planting Decisions

2024 Winter Wheat Production Prospects

Real and Nominal Corn Futures Prices 

Peanut Cost of Production, the Farm Bill, and Need for Risk Management

Using Historical Price Movements to Inform Marketing Decisions

Examining Sugarcane and Sugarbeet Production Costs 

Why are Peanuts Bucking the Declining Crop Price Trend?

Bridging the Price Risk Gap

Corn Price Prospects When We Start the Year with a 2-Billion-Bushel Carryover

U.S. Cotton Cost Trends and Implications

Corn and Soybean Yield Trends 

How Market Dynamics Separate World and U.S. Rice Export Prices

River Levels and Off-Farm Storage Disbursement

Russian Wheat Production and World Wheat Market Fundamentals

Who’s Holding Global Soybean Stocks? 

Corn and Soybean Harvest Futures Contract Price Frequency 

Low River Levels, Barge Freight, and Widening Basis

USDA Refining of Forecasted U.S. Cotton Production

Supporting Sorghum Prices in the 2023/24 Season: Exports and Basis

The Importance of Wheat Production in the South 

Comparing the Harvest Price and Projected Price in Revenue Protection Crop Insurance for Rice and Corn

How is the Cotton Crop Looking in 2023?

The Fast Two Minutes in Crop Markets

Peanut Farmers Find Marketing Opportunities through Agricultural Cooperatives

Brazilian Reais, Chinese Yuan Renminbi, and United States Dollar:  Exchange Rates Could Provide Support or Hindrance to U.S. Soybean Exports

Implications of the Black Sea Grain Deal Cancellation

Soybean Indemnity Payments for Wildlife Damage

The U.S. Corn Market: a Look Ahead and Lessons from the Past

USDA Acreage Report Results: Price and Crop Insurance Impacts

Interest Rates and Grain Storage

The Relationship Between Wheat Stocks Held by Exporting Countries, Global Imports, and the U.S. Marketing Year Average Price  

Our Most Read Articles for 2022-2023

Difficulty in Forecasting 2023 U.S. Cotton Production

The Impact of Interest Rates and Basis on Net Cash Price for Corn

Sorghum Exports and Production Expectations for the 2023/24 Season

Flooding in the Upper Mississippi River is Associated with Relatively Weak Soybean Basis in the Midsouth 

Higher Supplies and Lower Prices Projected for U.S. Crops in 2023

The Importance of Corn Production in the South to the U.S. Corn Supply

Urea, Natural Gas, and Corn Price Correlations

Peanut Acreage Projected to Increase in 2023

Competing Influences and Expectations for World Cotton Demand

Rethinking Fertilizer Prices

Key Takeaways and Reliability of the 2023 Prospective Plantings Report

Sensitivity of USDA’s Agricultural Outlook Forum Projections to Changes in Soybean Crush Demand

Sensitivity of USDA’s Agricultural Outlook Forum Projections to Changes in Corn Exports

The Soybean to Corn Price Ratio as a Guide to Farmers’ Planting Decisions

February USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum Projections Compared to USDA Final Estimates

One Last Thought on Revenue Insurance for Rice in 2023

2023 Peanut Market Outlook

Possible Extreme Outcomes for 2023 Cotton

Do Corn and Soybean Harvest Futures Rise or Fall During the February Projected Crop Insurance Price Determination Period?

Traditional Stock-to-Use Ratios are of Little Value in Determining Peanut Prices

Trading Ranges and Volatility for November Soybean and December Corn Futures Prices

The Demand Side of the Supply and Demand Balance Sheet

The Peanut-Cotton Price Relationship

Navigating the “Winter” in Cotton Farming in 2023

Quantifying U.S. Corn Exports to Mexico

What to Expect from Brazil’s Soybean Crop?

Corn Exports: Quality, Value, and Prices

Looking Ahead to the 2023 Cotton Market

Risk Management Considerations for the 2023 Growing Season

What Does Trendline Yield Tell Us About How Corn Futures Prices React During and After the Production Year?

Considerations for Developing a Pre-Harvest Marketing Plan

Who’s Buying U.S. Peanuts?

Low Water Levels in the Mississippi River Result in Abnormally Weak Soybean Basis

Fences Aren’t Just for Cattle

Wheat Acres in the South

U.S. Sorghum-Corn Premium Prices Fell Sharply During this Quarter

Refinement of U.S. Cotton Production Forecasts

Marketing Strategies if Producers Do Not Have Access to On-Farm Storage

U.S. Feed and Residual Use: Consumption Trends in the Biofuel Era

On-Farm Grain Storage in Southern States

High Abandonment Acres for U.S. Cotton Projected Due to Drought

2022 Peanut Production Projections

The Option to Augment the Crop Insurance Price Floor

Key Farm Management Considerations in Turbulent Times: The 5% Rule

July Volatility in November Soybean Futures Prices

More Volatile Cotton Prices

U.S. Sugar Policy and Prices

The USDA June Acreage and Grain Stocks Report

What is Behind the Recent Cotton Futures Market Plunge?

Wheat Production of Major Exporters in the Southern Hemisphere

Some Quirky Aspects of Cotton Marketing

Shelled Peanut Product Disappearance Increasing

World Per Capita Grain Consumption and Global Economic Growth

Soybean Acerage Higher in Southern States with Increased Price Outlook

Managing the Price Risk Gap between December Corn Futures and Projected Crop Insurance Prices

Forward Pricing with Options on ICE Cotton Futures

Outlook for Feed grain Fundamentals in the 2022/2023 Marketing Year

Milestone Indicators of U.S. Cotton Supply and Demand

U.S. Total Rice Acerage Projected at 35 Year Low

Projected Decrease in Peanut Acreage Could Have Greater Impacts on Overall Production

World Wheat Supplies in Response to Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

Less Corn, More Soybeans, Cotton, and Wheat Projected to be Planted in 2022

Indirect Effects of the Eastern European Conflict on Cotton

Using Put Options for Risk Management

Peanut Production Up in 2021 Despite Lower Acreage

Ukraine-Russia Implications in Grain and Oilseed Markets

U.S. Cotton Planted Acres

2022 Corn Outlook

Soybean Meal and Oil Stocks Supportive for High Soybean Prices

Rice Production Down in 2021 Despite Strong Yields

Rise in Input Costs for Cotton Production: Make and Keep a New Year’s Plan

Variation in Corn Prices in the Southeast

2022 Price Outlook for Hard Red Winter and Soft Red Winter Wheat

The U.S. Dollar’s Influence on ICE Cotton Futures

Input Price and Availability is Influencing 2022 Planting Intentions

Is Shelled Use of Primary Peanut Products Softening?

Getting to Know FLOID

U.S. Sorghum, An International Commodity

Current “Squeeze” Dynamics in ICE Cotton Futures

Peanut Outlook

Did Speculative Money Cause the Recent Surge in Cotton Futures Prices?

Estimating U.S. Corn Acres for 2022

Speculative Influence on ICE Cotton Futures

What’s Driving Soybean Value: Meal or Oil?

Corn and Sorghum Outlook

Cotton Outlook

Rice Outlook

Exports to Canada and Mexico Provide Stability to Peanut Market

Cotton Prices Above 90th Percentile of the Historic Range